Deadly Fate Drop Rate Explained — What You Should Expect

GA Firing Line

Eric554

Hunter
Jun 11, 2025
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The drop rate of Deadly Fate in Path of Exile 2 is relatively low and considered one of the rarest among the three fate fragments needed to unlock the Trialmaster fight. Deadly Fate is specifically dropped by Bahlak, the Sky Seer, a boss that can spawn randomly as the wave 10 boss in the Trial of Chaos.
Community data from trial farming runs suggest that the chance to encounter and defeat Bahlak and thus obtain Deadly Fate is roughly around 27-35% per run when you reach wave 10. Actual drops of Deadly Fate after defeating Bahlak are not guaranteed, adding another layer of rarity to its acquisition.
This rarity contributes to Deadly Fate often commanding a higher value in trade markets compared to the other fate fragments, mainly because Bahlak is considered a tougher and more frustrating boss to face due to its aggressive tornado mechanics that frequently kill players or prolong fights.
The arbitrary nature of which wave 10 boss appears influences which fate fragment you receive, making the drop feel more RNG-heavy. Some players report repeated runs without Deadly Fate drops, while others get lucky and obtain multiple fragments in fewer attempts.
Expect a challenging grind: the Deadly Fate drop rate is low due to the boss spawn randomness and item drop probability combined. Persistent farming of the Trial of Chaos with a build designed for quick and safe wave clearing improves your odds but does not guarantee quick rewards. Patience and consistent runs are key to eventually securing Deadly Fate in Path of Exile 2.